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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/03 10:48
Soybean Futures Lower at Midday Tuesday; Corn Mixed; Wheat Flat-Lower
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 1 to
2 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 8 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 1 to
2 cents lower; wheat futures are flat to 8 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is sharply lower at midday with the S&P 120 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 90 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
sharply higher with crude up 5.85 and natural gas is up .18. Livestock trade is
weaker but off the lows. Precious metals are sharply lower with gold 180.00
lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday with early gains fading again as
overbought conditions and the stronger dollar offset the positive spillover
from energies. Ethanol margins should improve further if energy gains hold. The
daily export wire saw 196,000 metric tons sold to unknown destinations for
old-crop. Basis likely remains sideways in the short term. New-crop price
ratios have been flat to start March. On the May chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $4.40 with fresh high at 4.52 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 1 to 2 cents lower with the early gains fading again as
oil gets more overbought with meal fading further after the washout to start
the week. Meal is flat to 1.00 lower and oil is flat to 10 points higher. South
America should see little change in the short term as Brazil harvest rolls
forward. Basis will likely remain flat barring a bigger shipping pace increase.
On the May contract, chart support is $11.39 1/4, where we find the 20-day
moving average, with the fresh high at $11.85 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 8 cents lower with KC action leading as it works
to reestablish a premium to Chicago as we fade back from the upper end of the
range with the second day of stronger dollar trade limiting upside. Weather for
the Plains looks to stay warm through this week with the moisture concentrated
to the east. Matif wheat is lightly firmer Tuesday morning. On the KC May
chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $5.60 with resistance the fresh
high at $5.90 3/4.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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